In 2022, we outlined four possible futures for the war in Ukraine. Now, three years later, as new geopolitical realities emerge, it’s time to reassess which scenarios still hold and what the latest developments mean for Ukraine, Russia, and the West.

The cost of Ukraine's reconstruction stands at a staggering $486 billion—and climbs higher with each passing day. Timely decisions on investments, workforce, and resources will define the nation’s post-war recovery and long-term future.

2022 was a year of great upheaval and change, with a series of political and economic crises that will reverberate for many years to come. Looking back to the year, our team of futurists highlight five trends that shaped the trajectory of 2022 and will continue to shape the future.

The war in Ukraine has brought major disruption and new uncertainties to several sectors. To help organisations successfully navigate the constantly evolving environment ahead, Futures Platform’s team of futurists has outlined four different scenarios on how the war may evolve within the next five years.

In this interview, our Content Director and head of the futurist team, Dr. Tuomo Kuosa, tells about the process of analysing the global impacts of the Ukraine war. He also discusses which one has a more profound impact, the war or the Covid-19 pandemic, and explains the difference between forecasting and foresight.