Rebuilding Ukraine: Four Future Scenarios
In-depth scenario analysis report developed by Futures Platform’s strategic foresight experts in collaboration with external military and foreign policy experts, including Jukka Laikari, Co-Founder of the Rebuild Ukraine Office.
The report provides a structured scenario analysis and detailed, tailored strategic guidance for governments, businesses, and international organisations involved in Ukraine’s recovery.
As the situation in Ukraine evolves, so will this report. To keep the insights current and actionable, buyers will receive complimentary updates as new developments emerge.
The most recent update was published in April 2025.
Table of contents:
Preface p. 4
Our Scenario Building Method p. 5
SCENARIO 1: Ukraine Struggles with a Divided Reconstruction p. 7
Development Path p. 8
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 9
Implications for Business Sectors p. 11
SCENARIO 2: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Stalls Amid a Frozen Conflict p. 12
Development Path p. 13
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 14
Implications for Business Sectors p. 16
SCENARIO 3: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Falters Under Russian Control p. 17
Development Path p. 18
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 19
Implications for Business Sectors p. 21
SCENARIO 4: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Moves Ahead Rapidly p. 22
Development Path p. 23
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 24
Implications for Business Sectors p. 26
Final remarks p. 27
Updated analysis and commentary (April 2025) p. 28
About Futures Platform p. 33
Total 33 pages.
For more information about the report, click here.
For a summary of the scenarios featured in the report, click here.
In-depth scenario analysis report developed by Futures Platform’s strategic foresight experts in collaboration with external military and foreign policy experts, including Jukka Laikari, Co-Founder of the Rebuild Ukraine Office.
The report provides a structured scenario analysis and detailed, tailored strategic guidance for governments, businesses, and international organisations involved in Ukraine’s recovery.
As the situation in Ukraine evolves, so will this report. To keep the insights current and actionable, buyers will receive complimentary updates as new developments emerge.
The most recent update was published in April 2025.
Table of contents:
Preface p. 4
Our Scenario Building Method p. 5
SCENARIO 1: Ukraine Struggles with a Divided Reconstruction p. 7
Development Path p. 8
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 9
Implications for Business Sectors p. 11
SCENARIO 2: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Stalls Amid a Frozen Conflict p. 12
Development Path p. 13
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 14
Implications for Business Sectors p. 16
SCENARIO 3: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Falters Under Russian Control p. 17
Development Path p. 18
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 19
Implications for Business Sectors p. 21
SCENARIO 4: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Moves Ahead Rapidly p. 22
Development Path p. 23
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 24
Implications for Business Sectors p. 26
Final remarks p. 27
Updated analysis and commentary (April 2025) p. 28
About Futures Platform p. 33
Total 33 pages.
For more information about the report, click here.
For a summary of the scenarios featured in the report, click here.
In-depth scenario analysis report developed by Futures Platform’s strategic foresight experts in collaboration with external military and foreign policy experts, including Jukka Laikari, Co-Founder of the Rebuild Ukraine Office.
The report provides a structured scenario analysis and detailed, tailored strategic guidance for governments, businesses, and international organisations involved in Ukraine’s recovery.
As the situation in Ukraine evolves, so will this report. To keep the insights current and actionable, buyers will receive complimentary updates as new developments emerge.
The most recent update was published in April 2025.
Table of contents:
Preface p. 4
Our Scenario Building Method p. 5
SCENARIO 1: Ukraine Struggles with a Divided Reconstruction p. 7
Development Path p. 8
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 9
Implications for Business Sectors p. 11
SCENARIO 2: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Stalls Amid a Frozen Conflict p. 12
Development Path p. 13
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 14
Implications for Business Sectors p. 16
SCENARIO 3: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Falters Under Russian Control p. 17
Development Path p. 18
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 19
Implications for Business Sectors p. 21
SCENARIO 4: Ukraine’s Reconstruction Moves Ahead Rapidly p. 22
Development Path p. 23
Implications for Countries and Regions p. 24
Implications for Business Sectors p. 26
Final remarks p. 27
Updated analysis and commentary (April 2025) p. 28
About Futures Platform p. 33
Total 33 pages.
For more information about the report, click here.
For a summary of the scenarios featured in the report, click here.
