
IN SPOTLIGHT
The war in Ukraine, three years on: Which scenarios still stand?
In 2022, we outlined four possible futures for the war in Ukraine. Now, three years later, as new geopolitical realities emerge, it’s time to reassess which scenarios still hold and what the latest developments mean for Ukraine, Russia, and the West.
BLOG BY FUTURES PLATFORM
The Rise of Virtual Status Symbols: Blockchain, Digital Art and NFTs
As we spend more and more time in the virtual realm, the notions of luxury and status symbols begin to manifest themselves in novel ways.
Building Foresight in the Finnish Tax Administration: Case Study
From ageing populations and circular economy to the emergence of new payment methods, tax offices worldwide face multiple disruptive changes re-shaping their future operational environments. The Finnish Tax Administration has successfully integrated continuous foresight practice into its processes to better serve its clients.
Autonomous Delivery Robots Transform Last-Mile Logistics
Rapid advancements in automation and ever-increasing demand in e-commerce may soon pave the way for the wide adoption of robot and drone technologies in the last-mile delivery of products. Robot couriers have the potential to solve multiple issues associated with inefficiencies in logistics such as high labour costs, energy efficiency, and traffic congestion.
How to Build Scenarios Efficiently with a Scenario Planning Process
When there are no historical analogies to look back to, scenario planning can help us better understand and plan for a multitude of possible futures. In addition to enhancing efficiency, an established scenario planning process will empower organisations to proactively shape the future through strategic decision-making.
Meet Generation Alpha: Future Consumers Reshaping Markets
Born between 2010-2024, Generation Alpha will be the longest-living, most educated, and possibly the wealthiest generation. Growing up alongside technology since birth, their life experiences and preferences will differ significantly from earlier generations.
Future of Truth in the Information Age
With the proliferation of fake news, algorithmic social media bubbles and the growing capabilities of technology to manipulate human senses, our relationship with reality is evolving. As new technologies offer increasing possibilities to curate and modify how we experience both our digital and physical surroundings, our perception of what is to be considered real may be radically reframed in the future.
Wild Cards and Science Fiction: Free Imagination
As uncertainty about the future increases, wild cards and science fiction are gaining popularity among various organisations to foster future preparedness and visionary thinking. Exploring possible futures supported by free imagination is a cornerstone of versatile foresight practice.
Horizon Scanning and Vigilance Concerning Changes: Discontinuities, Emerging Issues and Weak Signals
Horizon scanning is the phase of gathering future-related knowledge, which is the first stage of the larger foresight process. It is about being vigilant concerning the changes in one’s environment. The main focus in this category of Futures intelligence is on discontinuities, emerging issues, and weak signals of change.
What’s next for capitalism? The forces shaping future economic systems in the 2020s
As populations begin to demand businesses and governments to define their success in new metrics other than financial growth and economic prosperity, new routes for future economic systems are starting to take shape.
Scenarios: Looking for Alternatives
Scenarios help to expand the time horizon, aid in looking beyond the usual extrapolations and improve thinking about the potential unexpected developments. Being descriptions of possible, probable or preferable futures, they help organisations prepare for various contingencies and plan accordingly.
Trends, Change Drivers and Megatrends: Understanding the Big Picture and Path-Dependencies
Much of what we can know about the future at the present moment is based on the directions and interactions of megatrends, trends and change drivers.
Can We Embrace an “Offline” Future After COVID-19?
COVID-19 can be heavily taxing on our mental health. Significantly increased internet use and overload of information are exhausting our attention and causing grave cognitive fatigues. Now may be the time to go offline and contemplate an unplugged future for our mental health.