
Trend Analyses by Futurists
Explore over 50+ trends and change drivers shaping the future of defence, including advancements in technology, evolving geopolitical dynamics, cybersecurity, governance frameworks, and strategic partnerships.
Interactive & Visual View of the Future
Explore the interconnections between trends in a holistic radar view and see how one trend may catalyse a domino effect of change across systems.
Collaboration Tools to Share Insights
See how other industry experts have voted and rated the trends on the radar, and join in the discussion to share your vision on the future of defence and security.
Access the radar
Quick Instructions
The radar brings together 50+ in-depth analyses of future trends, disruptions and change drivers. Drag or pinch the radar to zoom in/out.
These analyses, called “future phenomena”, are organised under four themes. Click theme names to read further, macro-level analysis of each.
Click individual phenomena to read the full analysis, including intro, video, background, implications, scenarios, related phenomena, further information, and related news signals.
On each phenomenon card, you can both vote and rate the importance of the subject. View voting/rating results by clicking the centre of the radar.
The colour of the phenomenon indicates type: strengthening, weakening, wild card, weak signal (read more below)
How to use the radar
Each circle on the radar represents a trend or an emerging change signal. They are placed on the radar according to their anticipated nature and scale of change they’ll go through in the decades ahead. When you click the titles of each radar section, it will open a summarised, big-picture analysis of the trends in that category.
Clicking on phenomena circles will open a trend card where you can find our futurists’ analyses on the individual phenomenon and its future impacts across various sectors. In some of the trend cards, you can also find scenario descriptions that describe alternative future development paths for the given phenomenon.
Every card on Futures Platform’s foresight database is assigned a type according to its anticipated future development path. We categorise future changes into four types - Strengthening Trend, Weakening Trend, Wild Card and Weak Signal.
The phenomenon is becoming more common or acute during the given timeframe. Most of its change potential is still ahead.
The phenomenon is becoming more unusual. During the given timeframe, most of its change potential or value has already occurred.
A possible but not probable event or change. The probability within the given timeframe is between 5% to 30%.
A small emerging issue in the present. At the given timeframe, it is still hard to say whether it will become a trend.
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For more than 13 years, NATO has conducted cyber wargames that simulate complex decision-making in cyberspace. The focus, along with the invitation list, has widened to include all forms of cybersecurity, and in 2020, white-hat hackers were included for the first time.